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Oil rises as expanding US-Israeli conflict with Iran elevates supply risks
Reuters • 2/16/2026 – 3/3/2026
Coercive Diplomacy
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Cluster Activity
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21
2
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6
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24
5
3
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13
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2026-02-16
2026-04-18
Lindy Score Breakdown (V4.2)
47d
Age
35
Sources
from cluster
1117
Hours Since Seen
Final Score
0/100
Category
Lindy
Status
Archived
Recency Multiplier
0%
(0.5^1117/48)
Hero Eligible
No
Score is 0 because recency decay (0.5^1117/48 = 0.000000) reduced it below 0.5
Story Timeline
2026-02-16
Iran meets U.N. nuclear watchdog in Geneva ahead of a second round of U.S. talks
(The Hindu)
+9 more sources
2026-02-17
Trump says he will be involved indirectly in Iran talks
(Reuters)
+20 more sources
2026-02-18
Iran temporarily closed Strait of Hormuz
(The Korea Herald)
+1 more source
2026-02-20
What would blocking the Strait of Hormuz mean for global oil and LNG shipments?
(South China Morning Post)
2026-02-22
Iran-US tensions: What would blocking Strait of Hormuz mean for oil, LNG?
(Al Jazeera)
2026-02-28
Attack on Iran disrupts flights across the Middle East and beyond
(France24)
+5 more sources
2026-03-01
Travellers stranded at Hong Kong airport as at least 27 Middle East flights disrupted
(South China Morning Post)
+8 more sources
2026-03-03
Oil rises as expanding US-Israeli conflict with Iran elevates supply risks
(current)
Analysis
Risk 10
Source Reputation:
Moderate trust (10/20 pts)
Consensus:
Strong consensus: 35 independent sources
Age:
46 days - proven survivor
Same Story
from 11 sources
Iran: Attacks on ships reported as Strait of Hormuz recloses
Deutsche Welle • Today
UN raises alarm about Iran war causing fertiliser shortages for developing countries
Middle East Eye • 4 days ago
World faces food ‘catastrophe’ if Strait of Hormuz disruption persists: FAO
Al Jazeera • 4 days ago
The Strait of Hormuz blockade is causing a slow-moving food crisis
The Verge • 5 days ago
A Closed Strait of Hormuz Risks a Global Food Security Crisis
War on the Rocks • 5 days ago
Experts warn ‘damage already done’ to food production from Hormuz closure
Middle East Eye • 1 week ago
Why spike in fertiliser prices may boost China’s political clout amid Iran war shockwaves
South China Morning Post • 2 weeks ago
Southeast Asia braces for fertilizer shortages as prices spike on Iran war
Nikkei Asia • 2 weeks ago
UN warns of humanitarian crisis as Hormuz disruptions risk agriculture
Middle East Eye • 3 weeks ago
Iran's chokehold on the Strait of Hormuz: Fertiliser supply chains under strain
France24 • 3 weeks ago
Breaking
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China’s growth hits 5% despite Iran war
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Iran claims ‘strict control’ of Strait of Hormuz and says it will not be fully reopened
Financial Times • Today
How 50 days of the Iran war led to the loss of $50 billion worth of oil
Reuters • Today
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Read the full story on Reuters ↗