Lindy
Fact
News That Stands the Test of Time
Radio
Library
Manifesto
All Stories
Lindy
Breaking
Concepts
Radio
Iran
Prediction
Prediction markets scrutinised over Iran bets
Reuters • 2/28/2026 – 3/2/2026
Summary
No summary yet.
Share:
X
Reddit
LinkedIn
Copy link
Share…
Advertisement
Cluster Activity
1
1
1
2
1
2026-02-28
2026-03-06
Lindy Score Breakdown (V4.2)
45d
Age
6
Sources
from cluster
1092
Hours Since Seen
Final Score
0/100
Category
AntiLindy
Status
Archived
Recency Multiplier
0%
(0.5^1092/48)
Hero Eligible
No
Score is 0 because recency decay (0.5^1092/48 = 0.000000) reduced it below 0.5
Story Timeline
2026-02-28
Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as ‘invaluable’
(The Verge)
2026-03-01
Polymarket saw $529M traded on bets tied to bombing of Iran
(TechCrunch)
2026-03-02
Prediction markets scrutinised over Iran bets
(current)
2026-03-03
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket hit with backlash over Iran strike-related bets
(The Hindu)
+1 more source
2026-03-06
Polymarket faces allegations of insider trading after suspicious Iran war bets
(France24)
Analysis
Risk 10
Source Reputation:
Moderate trust (10/20 pts)
Consensus:
Strong consensus: 6 independent sources
Age:
45 days - proven survivor
Same Story
from 6 sources
Polymarket faces allegations of insider trading after suspicious Iran war bets
France24 • 1+ months
Polymarket users won big with unusual bets on US attack on Iran
Financial Times • 1+ months
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket hit with backlash over Iran strike-related bets
The Hindu • 1+ months
Polymarket saw $529M traded on bets tied to bombing of Iran
TechCrunch • 1+ months
Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as ‘invaluable’
The Verge • 1+ months
Breaking
Similar stories
Iran War Live Updates: Iran Threatens Retaliation Over U.S. Blockade
The New York Times • 1 day ago
Mossad chief Barnea: Our mission in Iran is not over until regime falls - The Times of Israel
Times of Israel • 2 days ago
Democrats clash with US Energy Secretary over Iran war and gas prices
Al Jazeera • Today
With Iran War on Pause, Political Battle Resumes Over Israeli Democracy
The New York Times • 1 day ago
IEA warns of historic oil supply shock as Iran war chokes global markets
Euronews • 2 days ago
Trump deletes meme depicting him as Jesus, refuses to apologize amid feud with pope over Iran war - The Times of Israel
Times of Israel • 2 days ago
Iran war live: Trump says war ‘close to over’ as Hormuz blockade continues
Al Jazeera • 1 day ago
Trump says the Iran war is ‘close to over’. Is he just out of options?
South China Morning Post • 1 day ago
Iran war: US will make Iran 'thrive' if it ditches nukes
Deutsche Welle • 1 day ago
Iran citizen held in France over pro-Palestine comments returns home
Al Jazeera • 1 day ago
Anti-Lindy
Similar stories
Trump says Iran war could end 'soon', but threatens Iran over oil disruption
France24 • 1+ months
Israel and Iran exchange strikes on Persian New Year as war jolts energy markets
Euronews • 3 weeks ago
Pete said, ‘Let’s do it’: Trump on decision-making over Iran attack
The Hindu • 3 weeks ago
Donald Trump says Iran war could be over soon, but oil disruption would trigger harsher U.S. strikes
The Hindu • 1+ months
As Trump claims victory, Iran emerges bruised but resilient, with leverage over Hormuz - The Times of Israel
Times of Israel • 1 week ago
Iran War Live Updates: Trump Says U.S. and Iran Held ‘Very Good’ Talks on Ending Conflict
The New York Times • 3 weeks ago
Trump says Iran war will be over 'very soon' but warns Tehran against further oil disruptions
Euronews • 1+ months
Fragile ceasefire lifts markets as Trump threatens 50% tariffs on Iran arms suppliers
South China Morning Post • 1 week ago
As Trump claims victory, Iran emerges bruised but powerful with leverage over Hormuz
Japan Times • 1 week ago
Trump says Iran war could end 'soon' as Middle East conflict rattles markets
France24 • 1+ months
Read the full story on Reuters ↗