Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as ‘invaluable’
The Verge • 2/28/2026
Summary
No summary yet.
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Cluster Activity
1
1
1
2
1
2026-02-282026-03-06
Lindy Score Breakdown (V4.2)
47d
Age
6
Sources
from cluster
1128
Hours Since Seen
Final Score0/100
CategoryAntiLindy
StatusArchived
Recency Multiplier0% (0.5^1128/48)
Hero EligibleNo
Score is 0 because recency decay (0.5^1128/48 = 0.000000) reduced it below 0.5
Story Timeline
- 2026-02-28Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as ‘invaluable’ (current)
- 2026-03-01
- 2026-03-02
- 2026-03-03
- 2026-03-06
Score BreakdownRisk 25
Source Reputation: Low-trust source (6/20 pts)
Consensus: Strong consensus: 6 independent sources
Age: 47 days - proven survivor
Stories gain Lindy status through source reputation, network consensus, and time survival.
Same Story from 6 sources
Polymarket faces allegations of insider trading after suspicious Iran war bets
France24 • 1+ months
Polymarket users won big with unusual bets on US attack on Iran
Financial Times • 1+ months
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket hit with backlash over Iran strike-related bets
The Hindu • 1+ months
Prediction markets scrutinised over Iran bets
Reuters • 1+ months
Polymarket saw $529M traded on bets tied to bombing of Iran
TechCrunch • 1+ months
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