Earthquake rupture along Main Marmara Fault shows eastward progression towards Istanbul

Phys.org12/12/2025 • Last cited 12/14/2025

Summary

In April 2025, the Main Marmara Fault in northwestern Türkiye experienced its largest earthquake in over 60 years, with a magnitude of 6.2, as analyzed in a study published in Science by a team led by Prof. Dr. Patricia Martínez-Garzón. The research indicates an eastward progression of seismic activity towards Istanbul, based on nearly two decades of seismic data.

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Lindy Score Breakdown

35
Age (0-35)
34 days
24
Velocity (0-40)
1 source (low traction)
6
Tier (0-10)
Phys.org
0
Breadth (0-15)
1 unique
Total Score65/100

Score BreakdownRisk 50

Source Reputation: Low-trust source (6/20 pts)
Consensus: Single source - no independent confirmation yet
Age: 34 days - proven survivor

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