Kīlauea Volcano Eruption Update for Sunday, January 18
bigislandvideonews • 1/18/2026
Summary
Kīlauea Volcano is showing signs of inflation, suggesting that the next lava fountaining episode may occur between January 20th and January 25th. This information was provided by Hawaiʻi Volcanoes National Park in an update on January 18.
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Lindy Score Breakdown (V4.2)
91d
Age
1
Sources
from cluster
2192
Hours Since Seen
Final Score0/100
CategoryAntiLindy
StatusArchived
Recency Multiplier0% (0.5^2192/48)
Hero EligibleNo
Score is 0 because recency decay (0.5^2192/48 = 0.000000) reduced it below 0.5
Score BreakdownRisk 50
Source Reputation: Low-trust source (4/20 pts)
Consensus: Single source - no independent confirmation yet
Age: 91 days - proven survivor
Stories gain Lindy status through source reputation, network consensus, and time survival.
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