How Gavin Newsom Became the Democrats’ 2028 Frontrunner

The New York Times12/10/2025 • Last cited 12/14/2025

Summary

California Governor Gavin Newsom has emerged as the leading candidate for the Democratic nomination in the 2028 presidential election, according to The New York Times. His rise is attributed to a combination of political strategy and the current landscape of the Democratic Party.

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Lindy Score Breakdown

35
Age (0-35)
36 days
4
Velocity (0-40)
1 source (low traction)
8
Tier (0-10)
The New York Times
0
Breadth (0-15)
1 unique
Total Score47/100

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Score BreakdownRisk 35

Source Reputation: Moderate trust (8/20 pts)
Consensus: Single source - no independent confirmation yet
Age: 36 days - proven survivor

Stories gain Lindy status through source reputation, network consensus, and time survival.

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