Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 12, 2026 - Institute for the Study of War

The Institute for the Study of War released an assessment on January 12, 2026, regarding the Russian offensive campaign. The Russian economy is viewed as unlikely to collapse despite potential declines in oil prices, according to The Guardian. Reports indicate a disparity in economic conditions, with Moscow experiencing growth while provincial areas face economic challenges, as noted by Euromaidan Press. Additionally, the consequences of the Kremlin's focus on the defense industry amid the war in Ukraine are increasingly felt by Russians, as reported by Українські Національні Новини.