Surprise defection leaves Carney’s Liberals just one seat short of majority

Politico12/12/2025 • Last cited 12/14/2025

Summary

Ex-Conservative MP Michael Ma has defected to join the Liberal Party led by Carney, leaving the Liberals just one seat short of a majority in Parliament, according to multiple sources including Politico and CBC. This marks the second Conservative MP to cross the floor recently, impacting the balance of power in the Canadian government.

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Lindy Score Breakdown

35
Age (0-35)
35 days
4
Velocity (0-40)
1 source (low traction)
6
Tier (0-10)
Politico
0
Breadth (0-15)
1 unique
Total Score45/100

Score BreakdownRisk 50

Source Reputation: Low-trust source (6/20 pts)
Consensus: Single source - no independent confirmation yet
Age: 35 days - proven survivor

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