Here’s What to Know About Japan’s Mega Quake Advisory
The New York Times • 12/11/2025 • Last cited 12/14/2025
Summary
Japan's government has reported an increased likelihood of a magnitude 8 earthquake occurring, according to The New York Times. While scientists cannot predict the exact timing of such an event, this assessment indicates a significant rise in risk compared to typical probabilities.
Lindy Score Breakdown
35
Age (0-35)
34 days
12
Velocity (0-40)
3 sources (low traction)
8
Tier (0-10)
The New York Times
5
Breadth (0-15)
3 unique
Total Score60/100
AnalysisRisk 20
Source Reputation: Moderate trust (8/20 pts)
Consensus: Emerging consensus: 3 sources
Age: 34 days - proven survivor
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