Running to Stand Still: Russian Nuclear Modernization after New START

War on the Rocks2/13/2026

Summary

The expiration of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) signifies the end of formal limits on strategic nuclear weapons between the United States and Russia. While some multilateral agreements remain, such as the Outer Space, Seabed, and Moon treaties, as well as missile launch notification deals, traditional arms control measures are effectively diminished.

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Lindy Score Breakdown (V4.2)

48d
Age
1
Sources
from cluster
1177
Hours Since Seen
Final Score0/100
CategoryAntiLindy
StatusArchived
Recency Multiplier0% (0.5^1177/48)
Hero EligibleNo
Score is 0 because recency decay (0.5^1177/48 = 0.000000) reduced it below 0.5

Score BreakdownRisk 50

Source Reputation: Low-trust source (4/20 pts)
Consensus: Single source - no independent confirmation yet
Age: 49 days - proven survivor

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