Prediction markets want the Oscars to be your gateway drug to betting on everything
The Verge • 3/14/2026
Summary
Prediction markets are increasingly being used for betting on a wide range of topics, including wars and Nobel Peace Prize winners. The recent partnership between the Golden Globes and Polymarket highlights this trend, as people are also interested in wagering on celebrities' chances of winning awards. This shift towards a culture of "everything is gambling" has created opportunities for prediction market firms to expand their reach.
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Lindy Score Breakdown (V4.2)
48d
Age
1
Sources
from cluster
1160
Hours Since Seen
Final Score0/100
CategoryAntiLindy
StatusArchived
Recency Multiplier0% (0.5^1160/48)
Hero EligibleNo
Score is 0 because recency decay (0.5^1160/48 = 0.000000) reduced it below 0.5
Score BreakdownRisk 50
Source Reputation: Low-trust source (6/20 pts)
Consensus: Single source - no independent confirmation yet
Age: 48 days - proven survivor
Stories gain Lindy status through source reputation, network consensus, and time survival.
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