Hassett Fed chair odds fall, Warsh chances surge on Kalshi after Trump comments
CNBC • 12/12/2025 • Last cited 12/14/2025
Summary
After Donald Trump indicated that Kevin Warsh is his top choice for the next Federal Reserve chair, Warsh's odds of being selected increased to 40%, according to CNBC. In contrast, the odds for current chair Jerome Powell, represented by Hassett, have diminished.
Lindy Score Breakdown
35
Age (0-35)
34 days
4
Velocity (0-40)
1 source (low traction)
8
Tier (0-10)
CNBC
0
Breadth (0-15)
1 unique
Total Score47/100
Score BreakdownRisk 35
Source Reputation: Moderate trust (8/20 pts)
Consensus: Single source - no independent confirmation yet
Age: 34 days - proven survivor
Stories gain Lindy status through source reputation, network consensus, and time survival.
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